Banks rally on rescue deal hopes

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26 September 2011 Last updated at 20:21 GMT Continue reading the main story Last Updated at 17:44 GMT

Market indexCurrent valueTrendVariation% variationEuropean bank shares have risen as investors react to the latest attempts to stabilise the eurozone debt crisis.

A number of measures are being discussed according to reports from the weekend's international meeting in Washington.

They are expected to involve a 50% write-down of Greece's massive government debt, the BBC's business editor Robert Peston says.

French and German bank shares were up 10% at one stage in Monday trading.

European governments hope to have measures agreed in five to six weeks, in time for a meeting of the leaders of the G20 group in Cannes at the beginning of November.

But EU officials in Brussels stress that they should not be seen as "a single grand plan", the BBC's correspondent Chris Morris says.

The measures being discussed are:

Institutions that have lent money to Athens writing off about 50% of the money they are owedThe size of the eurozone bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), increasing dramatically to 2 trillion euros (￡1.7tn; $2.7tn)Strengthening big European banks that could be hit by any defaults on national debt obligations.

However, on Monday evening AFP reported that German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble had told television news channel NTV that there was no plan to boost the size of the EFSF.

"We are giving it the tools so it can work if necessary," Mr Schaeuble was reported as saying.

"Then we will use it effectively but we do not have the intention of boosting its volume."

Pan-Europe gains

Uncertainty over how to tackle Greece's problems has led to some European bank shares losing half their value in recent months due to concerns about their holdings of Greek debt.

But on Monday, French banks, which are particularly exposed to Greece, rallied, with BNP Paribas and Societe Generale up 4% and 5.4% respectively, and Credit Agricole up 3.7%.

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Unless the banks are fixed, there will remain too big a risk that a financial crisis could turn the current global economic slowdown into something more akin to depression than recession”

End Quote Robert Peston Business editor, BBC News Germany's big banks were also up sharply. Allianz was up 10%, Deutsche Bank 8% and Commerzbank 7.7%. In the UK, Barclays rose 6.8% and RBS 3.3%.

The Frankfurt was up about 3% at close, and in Paris by about 2%. The UK's main index, the FTSE 100, was virtually unchanged.

US shares closed higher, with the Dow ahead by 2.5%, the S&P 500 by 2.3%, and the Nasdaq by 1.4%.

However, commodity prices were lower on remaining concerns that the eurozone crisis could affect the global economy.

Philip Tyson of brokerage MF Global told the BBC that the proposed bailout fund had to be at least 2tn euros.

He said: "Markets need confidence that the fund has the firepower to deal with the likes of Italy and Spain should contagion risks spread.

"It does need to happen, but there are big question marks about the detail, and exactly how it will happen. Time is running out."

Ben Critchley, a sales trader at spread betting group IG Index, said: "For now at least, it looks as if markets are giving some credence to a firm plan on how to tackle the debt crisis beginning to emerge.

"But if recent experience is anything to go by, this patience is unlikely to last too long if details are not forthcoming."

Key elements

The reports about the rescue proposals emerged from the annual meeting of the IMF in the US capital last week, attended by finance ministers from the G20 group of countries.

The package is expected to involve a quadrupling - from the current projected level of 440bn euros - in the firepower of the eurozone's main bailout fund, the EFSF.

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The problem, they said privately, was that ministers couldn't talk openly about a new solution to the crisis when the old one had not even been passed by national parliaments. This was a particular issue, naturally, for Germany.”

End Quote Stephanie Flanders Economics editor, BBC News It is not entirely clear how any expansion of the facility would be managed, but one suggestion is for the EFSF to guarantee the first part of any losses creditors sustain from a government defaulting on its debts, with the European Central Bank (ECB) providing an additional 1.5tn euros of loans.

The EFSF would take on the main risk of lending to governments struggling to borrow from normal commercial sources - governments like Italy.

It is also thought that private investors in Greek debt are likely to have to accept a 50% reduction in what they are owed, our editor says.

Eurozone leaders agreed a plan in July, which has yet to be ratified, that provided for a reduction in Greece's repayments to banks of about 20%.

European officials in Brussels stressed that their current focus was on getting measures, including changes to the EFSF, agreed back in July ratified by 17 national parliaments within the eurozone.

It was proving a difficult task, the BBC's Chris Morris says, to get these less far-reaching changes passed, with Germany one of three assemblies to vote this week.

The third element of the rescue plan envisages a strengthening of big eurozone banks, which are perceived to have too little capital to absorb losses.

'Critical days'

Commodity prices remained under pressure, pulled between relief that a eurozone deal could be nearer and worries that the global economy faces a downturn.

Continue reading the main story Oil prices fell sharply in early trading, but recovered with Brent crude up 60 cents at $104.57 a barrel and US light, sweet crude up 55 cents to $80.40 a barrel.

The stronger dollar, which rose around 0.2% against a basket of currencies, also weighed on oil prices as it makes dollar-denominated assets more expensive.

Gold fell 3.2% to $1,603.95 an ounce, continuing recent declines from record highs. Copper, which has already fallen, was down another 4%.

Senior commodities analysts Edward Meir, at brokers MF Global, said: "These are very critical days and weeks ahead, reminiscent very much of the touch-and-go situation we were in back in 2008.

"The key difference this time around is that it is countries and not companies that are in danger of going bust."

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6 October 2011 last updated 05: help GMT

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Trend in EU economic bucking of Estonia

October 6, 2011, last updated: 57 GMT by Charlotte Ashton, World Tallin Tallinn, Estonia-Skype, as well as other companies in emerging technologies now has the fastest economic growth in the European Union, so what does Estonia just when other countries are so many economic problems?

Ave Maria Ounapuu enjoys boom of Estonia.

Organic cosmetics company established JOIK four years ago to take its business to making candles.

She has received grants from the European Union for machinery and marketing help, but says the business agenda of the Government of Estonia helped too: "it was pretty easy.

"There was no problem with the regulations, even finding products to sell went smoothly enough.

"You can report your taxes online so you don't need to spend valuable time to forms and things. We don't have our growth to the Government, but they will not put any obstacles in our way. "

Currently, JOIK employs four people, was moved to a larger space. It has an annual turnover of 250,000 euros, on export to countries bordering the Baltic.

Ave Maria Ounapuu says the Government of Estonia has set up an independent business with ease

This is a similar story of Estonia as a whole, as the country has a long way since she joined the EU in 2004.

The initial flow of credit to the construction boom that led to high House, but the bubble burst in 2008, when the country found itself the economic doldrums, it had to smarten up their act.

Labour laws were liberalised, increased retirement age and public spending cut. But the tax remained low to encourage business; Entrepreneurs were fashionable.

Estonia GDP grew at 8.5% in the first quarter of this year, the fastest growth of all the EU economy. One of the biggest growth areas in it technology.

Estonia exports mainly to the EU, but exports of its main markets, Finland, Sweden are distorted

Skype Online software used by people 200 m each month to make free or cheap video phone calls over the Internet, has its development, on the outskirts of Tallinn.

The software was invented in Tallinn of Dane, Swede and Estonians.

Stan Tankivi, head of Skype Estonia, says: "you can show the country of Estonia itself as a witness. It regained independence 20 years ago, the company generally or culture here has very little hierarchy.

"It is very small and nimble, that sort of environment is very positive for entrepreneurship".

In January, Estonia joined the euro. Stability of the currency result, along with those low corporate taxes (zero profits reinvested), this tiny nation of 1.3 m investment very attractive. Exports are soaring, up 53% last year. This summer came the euro 1bn for the first time.

But 70 percent of exports go to EU countries, growth is deteriorating steadily and its two main export markets, Finland and Sweden.

How is the economy of Estonia so fragile?

It is still a net recipient of EU money but its contribution to financial stability facility means that European companies is decreasingly profitable. Contribution of Euro 2bn represents one third of the annual budget.

"We were invited to a wedding but turned out to be a funeral," says Anders Arrak, Estonian who has entrepreneurial University apply.

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of course we understand what the meaning of the credit crisis, but in Estonia is not a hot topic for us "

end quote Andrus Ansip Estonian Prime ??????"??? us a lot of money from the EU.

"We have already renovated churches and roads. But now we are being asked to pay money to improve the errors made in the past, Greece and the countries of the eurozone.

"It makes sense. We have to invest in the future of Estonia. "

But the Prime Minister of Estonia Andrus Ansip stay safer will continue its growth: "of course we all need to be concerned but our banking sector is doing well, our commercial banks are well capitalised and correspond to the reserves.

"The State the money are the best of all the European Union because we have still 12% GDP reserves.

"Yes, of course, we understand what the meaning of the credit crisis, but in Estonia is not a hot topic for us."

Mr Ansip thank him an erection activities explaining why Estonia, a poor cousin Mizrahi, fresh out of troubled times himself, bail out its richer southern cousins.

Drinkers in the lounge of their obligation to contribute to the Museum say bailouts EU

But support for the European Union young Estonians soothes the unwavering with a glass of wine in one of the new trendy bars, lounge Tallinn Museum.

Memories of Soviet occupation, which ended just 20 years ago, are still fresh among the younger generation.

Ali is a teacher at the school who says it fully supports Estonia's contribution to the bailout.

"I don't even understand what the discussion. We already received money from the EU now is a good thing because ultimately we are in a position to help someone else. I think it's only fair. "

The Museum lounge Manager, ARGO, agrees. "An overview of Estonia in the West now, only the West," he says.

And Estonia are ready to pay the price.

The world tonight is broadcast weekdays on BBC Radio 4: 00 p.m. BST.

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Amazon unveils Kindle Fire tablet

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28 September 2011 Last updated at 16:42 GMT Amazon boss Jeff Bezos unveils the Kindle Fire

Amazon has unveiled a colour tablet computer called the Kindle Fire.

The $199 (￡130) device will run a modified version of Google's Android operating system.

Until now, the company has limited itself to making black and white e-readers, designed for consuming books and magazines.

As well as targeting Apple's iPad, Amazon is likely to have its sights on rival bookseller US Barnes & Noble, which already has a colour tablet.

The Kindle Fire will enter a hugely competitive market, dominated by Apple's iPad.

Amazon will be hoping to leverage both the strength of the Kindle brand, built up over three generations of its popular e-book reader, and its ability to serve up content such as music and video.

In recent years, the company has begun offering downloadable music for sale, and also has a streaming video-on-demand service in the United States. Those, combined with its mobile application store, give it a more sophisticated content "ecosystem" than most of its rivals.

Continue reading the main story 7" IPS (in-plane switching) display1024 x 600 resolutionCustomised Google Android operating system$199 (￡130)Weighs 413 grammesDual core processor8GB internal storage"It's the price and the backup services that make it really exciting," said Will Findlater, editor of Stuff magazine.

"Content is the big differentiator. It's what every other platform has been lacking, except the iPad."

Amazon's decision to opt for a 7" screen, as opposed to the larger 10" displays favoured by many rival manufacturers was a cause for concern for Ovum analyst Adam Leach.

"This screen size has undoubtedly helped them achieve a lower price point for the device but so far this form factor has not been popular with consumers, we shall see if this is related to other aspects of those devices other than its screen size. "

Digital dividend Digital content has already proved itself to be a money-spinner for Amazon.

Although the company has never released official sales figures for the Kindle, it did state - in December 2010 - that it was now selling more electronic copies of books than paper copies.

Its US rival, Barnes & Noble, has also enjoyed success with its Nook devices.

In October 2010, the company unveiled the Nook Color, which also runs a version of Android, albeit with lower hardware specs than many fully featured tablets.

While the Nook Color is largely focused on book and magazine reading, some users have managed to unlock its wider functionality and install third-party apps.

Amazon has dropped the keyboard from some of its Kindles in favour of touch

The Kindle Fire's $199 (￡130) price tag undercuts the Nook Color by $50 (￡30) and is significantly cheaper than more powerful tablets from Apple, Samsung, Motorola and others.

It is due to go on sale on 15 November in the US, although global release dates are currently unavailable.

Price cuts

Alongside the Kindle Fire, Amazon also announced a refresh of its Kindle e-readers.

The entry level device has had its keyboard removed and will now sell for $79, down from $99. Amazon UK announced that the new version would retail at ￡89.

A version with limited touchscreen capability, known as the Kindle Touch, will sell for $99. Only the US pricing has been announced so far.

"These are premium products at non premium prices," said Amazon chief executive Jeff Bezos. "We are going to sell millions of these."

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Russia bleeds cash as investors pull out

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 23:00 GMT By Natalia Golysheva BBC World Service Political turbulence has spooked investors in Russia Five months ago the Russian stock market was among the world's top performer, peaking after a steady rise in share prices that had lasted since early 2009.

Since then, the market has taken a tumble, with Russia's Micex index of leading shares losing more than a quarter of its value and the RTS index of 50 Russian shares falling by some 40% to levels not seen since this time last year.

According to the Russian government, investors are pulling back because they have been spooked by falling oil prices and global economic turmoil.

But many observers are instead blaming internal political turmoil for the retrenchment, which last year saw capital flight to the tune of some $30bn (￡19bn) - only to accelerate this year, with some $31bn leaving the country during the first six months alone.

Wheeling cash out of Russia has become a sport shared by wealthy Russians and foreign investors alike, with one Russian opposition party leader, Boris Nemtsov, predicting that capital flight could rise to $100bn this year.

The capital flight is matched by a brain drain as the country's much needed skilled and educated people head for better opportunities abroad.

A recent survey suggests more than a fifth of Russia's adult population would like to emigrate, compared with 7% in 2007.

'Pillar of stability'

This week's ousting of Russia's long-standing finance minister, Alexei Kudrin, did little to mollify neither the people nor the markets.

Mr Kudrin eventually lost his battle with Russia's leaders

So the Russian rouble, already weakened by the turmoil in the world economy, has plunged and is trading around its lowest level against the US dollar since May 2009.

Mr Kudrin's main cheerleaders, Western investors and analysts, have long applauded the way his conservative budget policies have helped restore the country's financial health in the wake of the global financial crisis.

To them, his departure is seen as a deep blow to Russia's economy.

"The surprise factor of Kudrin leaving is bigger than the nomination of Putin to be the next president," according to Roland Nash, senior partner of Verno Capital.

"Kudrin personifies fiscal stability in Russia. It was really his big success that we've had this fiscal stability now for more than 10 years - him and the oil price.

Neil Shearing, chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, a private-sector think tank in London, agrees.

"It's difficult to see how Kudrin's resignation can be anything but market-negative," he says.

Economic differences

Mr Kudrin's departure after 11 years in the job could not have been announced at a worse time, coming hot on the heels of President Dmitry Medvedev announcing that that he will swap jobs with Prime Minster Vladimir Putin in March of next year.

Investors are nervous as share prices, oil prices and the rouble all fall sharply

The Russian media initially speculated that Mr Kudrin may have openly rebelled to bolster his own ambitions to become Russia's next prime minister.

Mr Kudrin has accused President Medvedev of economic mismanagement and excessive spending.

In particular, in the latest of the two politicians many disagreements over economic policy, Mr Kudrin has been vocal in his opposition to President Medvedev's efforts to raise military spending by some 2.1 trillion over three years, insisting the plan would create "additional risks for both the budget and the economy".

President Medvedev has been dismissive of Mr Kudrin's criticism, insisting Russia "cannot avoid defence spending worthy of the Russian Federation, which is not some 'banana republic' but a very large country, a permanent member of the UN Security Council that possesses nuclear weapons".

In the end, the conflict came to a head with President Medvedev telling Mr Kudrin to step down after the rebellious finance minister said he would be unwilling to work with the next prime minister.

And if investors were concerned about Mr Kudrin's departure, then they were far from mollified by the man Prime Minister Putin appointed to succeed him.

Mr Putin described the new acting finance minister, the rarely heard of former deputy Anton Siluanov, as a "good, strong specialist", which investors immediately took to mean he would tow the party line and as such be a safe bet for the Russian leaders during the upcoming election season.

Optimistic assumptions

Mr Siluanov's first challenge will come next week, when Russia's government will have to submit its 2012 budget for approval by parliament.

It will be a challenge because the budget is calculated on a rather optimistic assumption, namely that price of oil will rise to $116 (￡72)per barrel next year.

According to the ousted Mr Kudrin, Russia needs oil to average $112 in 2012 to balance its budget.

However, the price of Russia's main export, Urals crude oil, has recently tumbled and is currently trading close to the $105-a-barrel level.

If the price of oil fails to bounce back, then Mr Kudrin will be proven right about the need to curb spending and plan for a future when Russia's earnings will be much lower than they have been in recent years.

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Soros' sympathy for bank protests

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 20:34 GMT Other protests have been held in Boston, Los Angeles and Chicago Billionaire investor George Soros says he can sympathise with the ongoing protests on Wall Street, which have spread to other US cities.

He said he understood the anger at the use of taxpayers' cash to prop up stricken banks, allowing them to earn huge profits.

A large rally is planned for Wednesday in New York City, with backing from union groups.

More than 700 protesters were arrested on Saturday on Brooklyn Bridge.

The demonstrations - based at Zuccotti Park, near Wall Street and the Federal Reserve - are now entering their third week.

Answering questions during a news conference at UN headquarters on Monday, Mr Soros said: "The decision not to inject capital into the banks, but to effectively relieve them of their bad assets and then allow them to earn their way out of a hole leaves the banks bumper profits and then allows them to pay bumper bonuses."

Mr Soros was announcing a gift of $40m (￡26m) to a development project in Africa.

'Corporate zombies'

Protests continued on Monday in New York, with many under the Occupy Wall Street banner wearing make-up to pose as "corporate zombies", eating fake money.

Protesters dressed as zombies took to the streets of Manhattan on Monday

One of the protesters, John Hildebrand, 24, an unemployed teacher from the US state of Oklahoma, told the Associated Press news agency: "My issue is corporate influence in politics. I would like to eliminate corporate financing from politics."

Union members are expected to back a large rally planned for Wednesday.

Last Thursday, the United Federation of Teachers and the Transport Workers Union, which has 38,000 members, pledged support for the protests.

In Los Angeles on Monday, an anti-Wall Street demonstration was held outside the court where Michael Jackson's doctor is being tried for manslaughter.

Protests were held in recent days in Boston, Los Angeles and Chicago in front of their respective cities' Federal Reserve buildings. A march was also held in Columbus, Ohio.

A rally is planned, too, for later this month in the Canadian city of Toronto.

On Saturday, 700 protesters were arrested on the Brooklyn Bridge, where traffic was halted for several hours.

The protesters won support from actor Alec Baldwin, who posted videos on his Twitter page that had already been widely circulated.

One appeared to show police using pepper spray on a group of women, and another a young man being tackled to the ground by an officer.

"This is unsettling," Baldwin wrote. "I think the NYPD has a PR problem."

But the NYPD said the marchers had been warned many times not to stray on to the road, and released video footage on Sunday showing protesters chanting "take the bridge".

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VIDEO: Cargill chief executive on its success

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 08:43 GMT Help

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